Automotive Design and Production

DEC 2015

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AD&P; > December 2015 > TALK > Marginal > Gary S. Vasilash > gsv@autofeldguide.com 8 to year-earlier fgures. The vehicle is down 23% year-to-date. Speak- ing of the Prius, it was down 13.5% in October and is of 11.6% for the year. (Although it is worth noting that it is still the dominant vehicle in the hybrid category: Through October, 179,001 Prius models have been delivered, compared with a mere 23,693 C-MAXes. And to put that 179,001 into context, you can add together the sales of the Toyota Avalon (55,304) and every avail- able Scion model (total: 50,285) and still not reach the sales of the Prius. Or, you can take the sales of the C-MAX (23,693) and add in the sales of the Fiesta (56,032) and Taurus (46,601) and still fall short of the 179,001 units (126,326)). Still, directionally it seems as though alternative powertrains are not doing as well as people might have thought they would be. Chevy Volt sales are of 14.9% for the year (15,979). And while Nissan can get bragging rights for the all-electric LEAF sales being up 35% for the year, realize that the total number is 24,411, which is fewer than the number of the largely mocked Nissan Juke, which has had sales of 34,021 units through October. According to the EIA, the highest average retail price for a gallon of gas in the U.S. was $4.11 in July 2008. And we can remember what was going on in 2008 and 2009. Suddenly those truck sales weren't what they once were. In fact, sales overall quickly spiraled into the tank. While that is a memory that few of us want to remember, it is a memory that few of us should forget. Without a doubt, the global OEMs are doing a solid job in terms of increasing the fuel efciency of their feets. According to the Uni- versity of Michigan's Transportation Research Institute ( umtri.umich. edu ), CAFE performance has con- sistently increased annually from model year 2008 through model year 2014 in the U.S., going from 25.5 mpg to 30.8 mpg. But let's say that the planners assume that gas prices are going to continue at a low level, not increase. What is the likelihood that they're going to be proposing

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